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How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

Volumen total

COP 1,020,735 COP

Cierre

Dec 31, 2026

Candidatos · ordenados por probabilidad

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Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Vol COP 415,901 COP

Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Vol COP 173,347 COP

Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Vol COP 49,277 COP

Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Vol COP 109,578 COP

📈 Gráfico de probabilidad

Historial de precio

Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?.33

Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?.28

Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?.19

Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?.07

💬 Chat en vivo

Chat del evento en vivo· 12 mensajes

RP
Rodrigo Pérez3d
Que evento esse, vai ser interessante
GO
Gabriela O.3d
Próximas semanas vão definir
PH
Paula H.1d
Mercado bem disputado
AL
Andrea López1d
Que evento esse, vai ser interessante
LF
Lucas F.1d
Mercado bem disputado
PH
Paula H.22h
Bom volume, gosto de quando tem liquidez
IC
Isabela C.21h
Mercado bem disputado
RT
Rafael T.16h
Que evento esse, vai ser interessante
NV
Nicolás V.11h
Mercado bem disputado
PS
Pablo Salinas10h
Quem tem dados melhores?
AF
Andrés F.9h
Que evento esse, vai ser interessante
DH
Daniela H.4h
Bom volume, gosto de quando tem liquidez

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Actividad en vivo· últimos 1

MO
Michael Oliveiracompró NAO
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
KDP 65
5.49 sh @ 70¢
3d

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