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Anthropic CEO arrested?

1%chance

Yes 1.2¢

No 99¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Volume

COP 327.6K COP

Jun 30, 2026

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📈 Probability chart

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Live chat· 7 messages

LR
Lucía R.4d
Microsoft com Azure dominando ainda
SC
Sofia Castro3d
Apple lançando IA própria foi forte
RT
Rafael T.1d
Nvidia tá imparável, market cap só sobe
IC
Isabela C.1d
Acho que o Google vai surpreender
DH
Daniela H.1d
Esse trimestre os números vão decidir
DR
Daniel Rojas1d
AI race continua quente, Anthropic vs OpenAI
BS
Beatriz S.13h
Acho que o Google vai surpreender

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RC
Richard CardosoBUYNo
11.00 KDP
@ 99% · 3d
AH
Amanda HernándezBUYNo
32.00 KDP
@ 99% · 4d

📅 Schedule & payouts

Market opened
May 23, 2026, 5:41 AM
Market closes
After the result·Jun 30, 2026, 2:00 AM
Projected payout
Up to 24h after close

Market closes automatically on Jun 30, 2026, 2:00 AM if the result isn't known yet.

Yes1%No99%