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China coup attempt before 2027?

3%chance

Yes 3.4¢

No 97¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify. Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Volume

COP 424.6K COP

Dec 31, 2026

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PS
Pablo Salinas4d
Bom volume, gosto de quando tem liquidez
JG
Joaquín G.4d
Bom volume, gosto de quando tem liquidez
DR
Daniel Rojas2d
Apostei nesse e tô segurando
MS
Mariana Silva2d
Tô analisando, ainda não decidi
BS
Beatriz S.1d
Bom volume, gosto de quando tem liquidez
VB
Valentina B.1d
Próximas semanas vão definir
BL
Bruno Lima23h
Próximas semanas vão definir
CV
Camila Vega19h
Bom volume, gosto de quando tem liquidez

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📅 Schedule & payouts

Market opened
May 23, 2026, 5:39 AM
Market closes
After the result·Dec 31, 2026, 1:00 AM
Projected payout
Up to 24h after close

Market closes automatically on Dec 31, 2026, 1:00 AM if the result isn't known yet.