Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

4%chance

Yes 3.8¢

No 96¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD in the initial trial of Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying amounts include monetary damages or payments awarded via jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement reached during or prior to the initial trial proceedings. Only cash or cash-equivalent compensation payable to Elon Musk (or entities controlled by him) will be counted. Non-monetary relief will not count. If a mistrial is declared, or if the initial trial concludes without Elon Musk receiving at least $10,000,000,000 USD, this market will resolve to "No". Any retrial, appeal, or subsequent proceedings will not be considered for this market. If Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD during the initial trial proceedings, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Volume

COP 298.3K COP

Dec 31, 2026

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Live chat· 6 messages

MS
Mariana Silva4d
Nvidia tá imparável, market cap só sobe
FG
Felipe G.3d
Esse trimestre os números vão decidir
PS
Pablo Salinas3d
AI race continua quente, Anthropic vs OpenAI
ML
Mateo López2d
Apple lançando IA própria foi forte
AL
Andrea López2d
Nvidia tá imparável, market cap só sobe
PH
Paula H.19h
Nvidia tá imparável, market cap só sobe

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Live· refreshes every 5s

AM
Ashley MartínezBUYYes
11.00 KDP
@ 2% · 4d
CR
Christopher RomeroBUYNo
45.00 KDP
@ 98% · 4d

📅 Schedule & payouts

Market opened
May 23, 2026, 5:41 AM
Market closes
After the result·Dec 31, 2026, 1:00 AM
Projected payout
Up to 24h after close

Market closes automatically on Dec 31, 2026, 1:00 AM if the result isn't known yet.

Yes4%No96%