Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

3%chance

Yes 3.0¢

No 97¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military engagement between the military forces of Greece and Turkey by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military engagement" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Greek and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution; however, minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not. Missiles or drone strikes that are intercepted will not qualify, regardless of whether they land on adversarial territory or cause damage. Similarly, surface-to-air missile strikes impacting adversarial territory will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution (although surface-to-air missiles fired at an adversarial military aircraft would qualify). The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Volume

COP 444K COP

Jun 30, 2026

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IC
Isabela C.8d
Próximas semanas vão definir
DH
Daniela H.4d
Mercado bem disputado
ML
Mateo López3d
Tô analisando, ainda não decidi
BS
Beatriz S.3d
Tô analisando, ainda não decidi
RM
Renata M.1d
Quem tem dados melhores?
VB
Valentina B.1d
Quem tem dados melhores?
ER
Emilia R.1d
Bom volume, gosto de quando tem liquidez

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WR
William RochaBUYNo
25.00 KDP
@ 97% · 3d
SV
Stephanie VargasBUYYes
14.00 KDP
@ 3% · 3d

📅 Schedule & payouts

Market opened
May 23, 2026, 5:37 AM
Market closes
After the result·Jun 30, 2026, 2:00 AM
Projected payout
Up to 24h after close

Market closes automatically on Jun 30, 2026, 2:00 AM if the result isn't known yet.

Yes3%No97%