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Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?

25%chance

Yes 25¢

No 75¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Volume

COP 303.4K COP

Dec 31, 2026

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VB
Valentina B.4d
Que evento esse, vai ser interessante
ER
Emilia R.4d
Que evento esse, vai ser interessante
FG
Felipe G.2d
Quem tem dados melhores?
SM
Sebastián M.2d
Apostei nesse e tô segurando
SC
Sofia Castro1d
Que evento esse, vai ser interessante
JP
Juliana P.1d
Mercado bem disputado
VB
Valentina B.14h
Tô analisando, ainda não decidi

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📅 Schedule & payouts

Market opened
May 23, 2026, 5:39 AM
Market closes
After the result·Dec 31, 2026, 1:00 AM
Projected payout
Up to 24h after close

Market closes automatically on Dec 31, 2026, 1:00 AM if the result isn't known yet.

Yes25%No75%