Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

14%chance

Yes 14¢

No 86¢

On October 9, 2025 Israel and Hamas signed a deal implementing a ceasefire: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Announcements that one side or another violated the ongoing ceasefire will not be enough to resolve this market to "Yes"; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or otherwise a wide consensus of credible reporting that that the ceasefire has been ended, will qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Volume

COP 279K COP

Jun 30, 2026

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PH
Paula H.8d
Que evento esse, vai ser interessante
NV
Nicolás V.3d
Quem tem dados melhores?
VB
Valentina B.3d
Tô analisando, ainda não decidi
AF
Andrés F.1d
Próximas semanas vão definir
RM
Renata M.1d
Mercado bem disputado
PH
Paula H.1d
Mercado bem disputado
VB
Valentina B.1d
Próximas semanas vão definir
LR
Lucía R.18h
Bom volume, gosto de quando tem liquidez

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📅 Schedule & payouts

Market opened
May 23, 2026, 5:39 AM
Market closes
After the result·Jun 30, 2026, 2:00 AM
Projected payout
Up to 24h after close

Market closes automatically on Jun 30, 2026, 2:00 AM if the result isn't known yet.

Yes14%No86%

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