Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

15%chance

Yes 15¢

No 85¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of Israel and Turkey by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Isreali and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Volume

COP 190.1K COP

Dec 31, 2026

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RP
Rodrigo Pérez3d
Tô analisando, ainda não decidi
SC
Sofia Castro3d
Próximas semanas vão definir
PS
Pablo Salinas3d
Tô analisando, ainda não decidi
SM
Sebastián M.3d
Que evento esse, vai ser interessante
BL
Bruno Lima2d
Bom volume, gosto de quando tem liquidez
SM
Sebastián M.1d
Mercado bem disputado
JP
Juliana P.10h
Tô analisando, ainda não decidi
RM
Renata M.34m
Quem tem dados melhores?

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HM
Hannah M.BUYNo
16.00 KDP
@ 85% · 3d

📅 Schedule & payouts

Market opened
May 23, 2026, 5:39 AM
Market closes
After the result·Dec 31, 2026, 1:00 AM
Projected payout
Up to 24h after close

Market closes automatically on Dec 31, 2026, 1:00 AM if the result isn't known yet.

Yes15%No85%