Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?

3%chance

Yes 2.7¢

No 97¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries. A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify. Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement. Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify. If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.

Volume

COP 352.2K COP

Dec 31, 2026

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GO
Gabriela O.4d
Tesla volatilidade absurda
ML
Mateo López4d
Vou de NO, valuation tá esticado
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Camila Vega3d
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Joaquín G.2d
Tesla volatilidade absurda
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Lucas F.1d
Vou de NO, valuation tá esticado
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Carlos Mendoza1d
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FG
Felipe G.1d
Nvidia tá imparável, market cap só sobe
LR
Lucía R.13h
Vou de NO, valuation tá esticado
MS
Mariana Silva12h
Vou de NO, valuation tá esticado
AF
Andrés F.8h
Vou de NO, valuation tá esticado

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DQ
David Q.BUYYes
30.00 KDP
@ 2% · 3d
RD
Richard DiasBUYYes
35.00 KDP
@ 1% · 3d

📅 Schedule & payouts

Market opened
May 23, 2026, 5:40 AM
Market closes
After the result·Dec 31, 2026, 1:00 AM
Projected payout
Up to 24h after close

Market closes automatically on Dec 31, 2026, 1:00 AM if the result isn't known yet.

Yes3%No97%