PoliticsCPMM● Open…

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

28%chance

Yes 28¢

No 72¢

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Volume

COP 347.3K COP

Oct 4, 2026

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📈 Probability chart

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Live chat· 5 messages

LR
Lucía R.3d
Análise dos últimos pesquisas tá meio confusa 🤔
CV
Camila Vega3d
Mercado tá precificando errado, vou de NO
LR
Lucía R.1d
Lembra que voto online não conta tudo, regional importa
TA
Tomás Aguirre6h
Quem ganhar a primária leva tudo
LR
Lucía R.36s
Atualização de sondagem saiu, já viram?

0/200

Live· refreshes every 5s

JA
Joseph AlmeidaBUYYes
32.00 KDP
@ 28% · 4d
SS
Sarah SouzaBUYYes
42.00 KDP
@ 28% · 4d

📅 Schedule & payouts

Market opened
May 23, 2026, 5:41 AM
Market closes
After the result·Oct 4, 2026, 2:00 AM
Projected payout
Up to 24h after close

Market closes automatically on Oct 4, 2026, 2:00 AM if the result isn't known yet.

Yes28%No72%