Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

24%chance

Yes 24¢

No 77¢

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Volume

COP 86.1K COP

Jun 30, 2026

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ML
Mateo López4d
Tesla volatilidade absurda
SC
Sofia Castro4d
Microsoft com Azure dominando ainda
SC
Sofia Castro4d
Nvidia tá imparável, market cap só sobe
JR
Jorge Ramírez3d
Esse trimestre os números vão decidir
JG
Joaquín G.3d
Esse trimestre os números vão decidir
RP
Rodrigo Pérez1d
Nvidia tá imparável, market cap só sobe
TA
Tomás Aguirre1d
Esse trimestre os números vão decidir
BL
Bruno Lima10h
Apple lançando IA própria foi forte

0/200

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📅 Schedule & payouts

Market opened
May 23, 2026, 5:40 AM
Market closes
After the result·Jun 30, 2026, 2:00 AM
Projected payout
Up to 24h after close

Market closes automatically on Jun 30, 2026, 2:00 AM if the result isn't known yet.

Yes24%No77%