Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?

23%chance

Yes 23¢

No 77¢

This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Volume

COP 172.8K COP

Dec 31, 2026

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LR
Lucía R.4d
Bom volume, gosto de quando tem liquidez
BL
Bruno Lima4d
Bom volume, gosto de quando tem liquidez
RM
Renata M.3d
Tô analisando, ainda não decidi
AL
Andrea López2d
Mercado bem disputado
CM
Carlos Mendoza2d
Que evento esse, vai ser interessante
FG
Felipe G.2d
Bom volume, gosto de quando tem liquidez
JR
Jorge Ramírez1d
Tô analisando, ainda não decidi
BL
Bruno Lima22h
Apostei nesse e tô segurando

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EC
Emily CarvalhoBUYYes
23.00 KDP
@ 22% · 4d

📅 Schedule & payouts

Market opened
May 23, 2026, 5:37 AM
Market closes
After the result·Dec 31, 2026, 1:00 AM
Projected payout
Up to 24h after close

Market closes automatically on Dec 31, 2026, 1:00 AM if the result isn't known yet.

Yes23%No77%