Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?

3%chance

Yes 2.6¢

No 97¢

This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Volume

COP 356.8K COP

Dec 31, 2026

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ER
Emilia R.4d
Tô analisando, ainda não decidi
ER
Emilia R.3d
Tô analisando, ainda não decidi
RP
Rodrigo Pérez3d
Mercado bem disputado
ML
Mateo López3d
Apostei nesse e tô segurando
MS
Mariana Silva1d
Que evento esse, vai ser interessante
JG
Joaquín G.1d
Próximas semanas vão definir
LR
Lucía R.1d
Apostei nesse e tô segurando
MS
Mariana Silva1d
Próximas semanas vão definir

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JM
Joseph M.BUYYes
33.00 KDP
@ 2% · 4d

📅 Schedule & payouts

Market opened
May 23, 2026, 5:38 AM
Market closes
After the result·Dec 31, 2026, 1:00 AM
Projected payout
Up to 24h after close

Market closes automatically on Dec 31, 2026, 1:00 AM if the result isn't known yet.

Yes3%No97%