Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

81%chance

Yes 81¢

No 19¢

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Volume

COP 166.2K COP

Oct 4, 2026

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PS
Pablo Salinas4d
Atualização de sondagem saiu, já viram?
FG
Felipe G.2d
Esse cenário tá igual 2024, mesmo padrão
SM
Sebastián M.2d
Lembra que voto online não conta tudo, regional importa
TA
Tomás Aguirre2d
Tô vendo o NO subir, alguém sabe se rolou algo?
PH
Paula H.2d
Tô vendo o NO subir, alguém sabe se rolou algo?
LF
Lucas F.2d
Quem aposta no SÍ agora? Acho que tem chance

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AR
Ashley RochaBUYYes
7.00 KDP
@ 81% · 3d

📅 Schedule & payouts

Market opened
May 23, 2026, 5:42 AM
Market closes
After the result·Oct 4, 2026, 2:00 AM
Projected payout
Up to 24h after close

Market closes automatically on Oct 4, 2026, 2:00 AM if the result isn't known yet.

Yes81%No19%