PoliticsCPMM● Open…

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

46%chance

Yes 46¢

No 55¢

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Volume

COP 69.7K COP

Oct 4, 2026

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TA
Tomás Aguirre4d
Esse cenário tá igual 2024, mesmo padrão
PS
Pablo Salinas4d
10 KDP no SÍ, vamos pra cima
SC
Sofia Castro3d
Tô vendo o NO subir, alguém sabe se rolou algo?
LF
Lucas F.2d
Quem ganhar a primária leva tudo
BS
Beatriz S.1d
Atualização de sondagem saiu, já viram?
AL
Andrea López22h
Tô vendo o NO subir, alguém sabe se rolou algo?
FG
Felipe G.5h
Esse cenário tá igual 2024, mesmo padrão

0/200

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📅 Schedule & payouts

Market opened
May 23, 2026, 5:41 AM
Market closes
After the result·Oct 4, 2026, 2:00 AM
Projected payout
Up to 24h after close

Market closes automatically on Oct 4, 2026, 2:00 AM if the result isn't known yet.

Yes46%No55%