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Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

6%chance

Yes 5.5¢

No 94¢

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Volume

COP 104.2K COP

Apr 30, 2027

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📈 Probability chart

💬 Live chat

Live chat· 6 messages

IC
Isabela C.4d
Lembra que voto online não conta tudo, regional importa
PH
Paula H.4d
Quem ganhar a primária leva tudo
LR
Lucía R.3d
Quem ganhar a primária leva tudo
CV
Camila Vega1d
Fica de olho na convenção partidária
AF
Andrés F.1d
10 KDP no SÍ, vamos pra cima
SC
Sofia Castro16h
Esse cenário tá igual 2024, mesmo padrão

0/200

Live· refreshes every 5s

MO
Michael OliveiraBUYYes
44.00 KDP
@ 6% · 3d

📅 Schedule & payouts

Market opened
May 23, 2026, 5:41 AM
Market closes
After the result·Apr 30, 2027, 2:00 AM
Projected payout
Up to 24h after close

Market closes automatically on Apr 30, 2027, 2:00 AM if the result isn't known yet.

Yes6%No94%