Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

33%chance

Yes 33¢

No 67¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.

Volume

COP 311.2K COP

Jan 3, 2027

Trades

Comments

📈 Probability chart

💬 Live chat

Live chat· 6 messages

GO
Gabriela O.4d
Fica de olho na convenção partidária
AL
Andrea López1d
Atualização de sondagem saiu, já viram?
DT
Diego Torres1d
Análise dos últimos pesquisas tá meio confusa 🤔
RP
Rodrigo Pérez1d
Fica de olho na convenção partidária
RP
Rodrigo Pérez18h
Mercado tá precificando errado, vou de NO
GO
Gabriela O.14h
Quem ganhar a primária leva tudo

0/200

Live· refreshes every 5s

MS
Michael SouzaBUYNo
5.00 KDP
@ 67% · 3d

📅 Schedule & payouts

Market opened
May 23, 2026, 5:42 AM
Market closes
After the result·Jan 3, 2027, 1:00 AM
Projected payout
Up to 24h after close

Market closes automatically on Jan 3, 2027, 1:00 AM if the result isn't known yet.

Yes33%No67%