Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?

71%chance

Yes 71¢

No 30¢

The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election. Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Volume

COP 116.8K COP

Oct 4, 2026

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CM
Carlos Mendoza4d
Fica de olho na convenção partidária
DT
Diego Torres3d
Tô vendo o NO subir, alguém sabe se rolou algo?
CM
Carlos Mendoza2d
Tô vendo o NO subir, alguém sabe se rolou algo?
RM
Renata M.2d
Análise dos últimos pesquisas tá meio confusa 🤔
TA
Tomás Aguirre2d
Análise dos últimos pesquisas tá meio confusa 🤔
VB
Valentina B.2d
Tô vendo o NO subir, alguém sabe se rolou algo?
CV
Camila Vega1d
Fica de olho na convenção partidária

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📅 Schedule & payouts

Market opened
May 23, 2026, 5:41 AM
Market closes
After the result·Oct 4, 2026, 2:00 AM
Projected payout
Up to 24h after close

Market closes automatically on Oct 4, 2026, 2:00 AM if the result isn't known yet.