Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

3%chance

Yes 3.1¢

No 97¢

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Volume

COP 628K COP

Oct 4, 2026

Trades

Comments

📈 Probability chart

💬 Live chat

Live chat· 6 messages

BL
Bruno Lima3d
Quem ganhar a primária leva tudo
MS
Mariana Silva2d
Lembra que voto online não conta tudo, regional importa
PH
Paula H.1d
Quem aposta no SÍ agora? Acho que tem chance
FG
Felipe G.1d
Atualização de sondagem saiu, já viram?
LF
Lucas F.1d
Quem aposta no SÍ agora? Acho que tem chance
ML
Mateo López11h
Atualização de sondagem saiu, já viram?

0/200

Live· refreshes every 5s

TP
Thomas PereiraBUYYes
11.00 KDP
@ 3% · 3d
DR
Daniel R.BUYYes
32.00 KDP
@ 2% · 3d
DC
Daniel CastroBUYNo
57.00 KDP
@ 98% · 3d
HF
Hannah F.BUYYes
19.00 KDP
@ 2% · 3d

📅 Schedule & payouts

Market opened
May 23, 2026, 5:41 AM
Market closes
After the result·Oct 4, 2026, 2:00 AM
Projected payout
Up to 24h after close

Market closes automatically on Oct 4, 2026, 2:00 AM if the result isn't known yet.