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Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

10%chance

Yes 9.7¢

No 90¢

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)

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COP 116.1K COP

Sep 20, 2026

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Live chat· 5 messages

VB
Valentina B.4d
Lembra que voto online não conta tudo, regional importa
TA
Tomás Aguirre3d
Análise dos últimos pesquisas tá meio confusa 🤔
VB
Valentina B.3d
Análise dos últimos pesquisas tá meio confusa 🤔
LF
Lucas F.2d
Esse cenário tá igual 2024, mesmo padrão
LR
Lucía R.2d
Quem ganhar a primária leva tudo

0/200

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Ashley DiasBUYYes
24.00 KDP
@ 9% · 4d

📅 Schedule & payouts

Market opened
May 23, 2026, 5:41 AM
Market closes
After the result·Sep 20, 2026, 2:00 AM
Projected payout
Up to 24h after close

Market closes automatically on Sep 20, 2026, 2:00 AM if the result isn't known yet.

Yes10%No90%