Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

81%chance

Yes 81¢

No 19¢

This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives. If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”. Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.

Volume

COP 606.8K COP

Nov 3, 2026

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📈 Probability chart

💬 Live chat

Live chat· 5 messages

DH
Daniela H.4d
Fica de olho na convenção partidária
CM
Carlos Mendoza3d
Lembra que voto online não conta tudo, regional importa
FG
Felipe G.3d
Esse cenário tá igual 2024, mesmo padrão
MS
Mariana Silva23h
Esse cenário tá igual 2024, mesmo padrão
SC
Sofia Castro10h
Tô vendo o NO subir, alguém sabe se rolou algo?

0/200

Live· refreshes every 5s

CP
Christopher PereiraBUYYes
30.00 KDP
@ 81% · 3d
DC
David CardosoBUYYes
47.00 KDP
@ 81% · 4d
MA
Megan AlmeidaBUYYes
34.00 KDP
@ 81% · 4d
RG
Richard G.BUYYes
7.00 KDP
@ 81% · 4d

📅 Schedule & payouts

Market opened
May 23, 2026, 5:41 AM
Market closes
After the result·Nov 3, 2026, 1:00 AM
Projected payout
Up to 24h after close

Market closes automatically on Nov 3, 2026, 1:00 AM if the result isn't known yet.