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Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

3%chance

Yes 3.0¢

No 97¢

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Volume

COP 536.5K COP

Oct 10, 2026

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📈 Probability chart

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Live chat· 6 messages

CM
Carlos Mendoza4d
Mercado bem disputado
BS
Beatriz S.4d
Quem tem dados melhores?
NV
Nicolás V.3d
Bom volume, gosto de quando tem liquidez
MS
Mariana Silva1d
Quem tem dados melhores?
BS
Beatriz S.1d
Bom volume, gosto de quando tem liquidez
IC
Isabela C.1d
Apostei nesse e tô segurando

0/200

Live· refreshes every 5s

ML
Michael LópezBUYYes
12.00 KDP
@ 3% · 3d
WB
William BarbosaBUYYes
11.00 KDP
@ 3% · 3d
HM
Hannah M.BUYNo
56.00 KDP
@ 97% · 4d
MJ
Matthew JiménezBUYYes
16.00 KDP
@ 2% · 4d

📅 Schedule & payouts

Market opened
May 23, 2026, 5:38 AM
Market closes
After the result·Oct 10, 2026, 2:00 AM
Projected payout
Up to 24h after close

Market closes automatically on Oct 10, 2026, 2:00 AM if the result isn't known yet.

Yes3%No97%