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Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

5%chance

Yes 4.7¢

No 95¢

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

Volume

COP 333K COP

Sep 13, 2026

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Comments

📈 Probability chart

💬 Live chat

Live chat· 6 messages

LR
Lucía R.3d
Quem ganhar a primária leva tudo
DH
Daniela H.3d
Mercado tá precificando errado, vou de NO
ML
Mateo López3d
Lembra que voto online não conta tudo, regional importa
CM
Carlos Mendoza2d
Atualização de sondagem saiu, já viram?
AL
Andrea López2d
10 KDP no SÍ, vamos pra cima
BL
Bruno Lima1d
Fica de olho na convenção partidária

0/200

Live· refreshes every 5s

SC
Sarah CostaBUYYes
58.00 KDP
@ 4% · 3d

📅 Schedule & payouts

Market opened
May 23, 2026, 5:41 AM
Market closes
After the result·Sep 13, 2026, 2:00 AM
Projected payout
Up to 24h after close

Market closes automatically on Sep 13, 2026, 2:00 AM if the result isn't known yet.

Yes5%No95%