Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

77%chance

Yes 77¢

No 23¢

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

Volume

COP 281.6K COP

Jun 30, 2026

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PS
Pablo Salinas4d
Quem tem dados melhores?
CV
Camila Vega3d
Apostei nesse e tô segurando
MS
Mariana Silva3d
Bom volume, gosto de quando tem liquidez
JR
Jorge Ramírez2d
Apostei nesse e tô segurando
JP
Juliana P.2d
Mercado bem disputado
BL
Bruno Lima1d
Apostei nesse e tô segurando

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📅 Schedule & payouts

Market opened
May 23, 2026, 5:38 AM
Market closes
After the result·Jun 30, 2026, 2:00 AM
Projected payout
Up to 24h after close

Market closes automatically on Jun 30, 2026, 2:00 AM if the result isn't known yet.

Yes77%No23%