Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

13%chance

Yes 13¢

No 87¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Volume

COP 125.9K COP

Dec 31, 2026

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RM
Renata M.4d
Mercado bem disputado
DH
Daniela H.3d
Bom volume, gosto de quando tem liquidez
IC
Isabela C.3d
Que evento esse, vai ser interessante
AF
Andrés F.2d
Apostei nesse e tô segurando
CM
Carlos Mendoza20h
Bom volume, gosto de quando tem liquidez

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📅 Schedule & payouts

Market opened
May 23, 2026, 5:39 AM
Market closes
After the result·Dec 31, 2026, 1:00 AM
Projected payout
Up to 24h after close

Market closes automatically on Dec 31, 2026, 1:00 AM if the result isn't known yet.