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Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

9%chance

Yes 9.0¢

No 91¢

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Volume

COP 144K COP

Oct 10, 2026

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Live chat· 5 messages

NV
Nicolás V.3d
Que evento esse, vai ser interessante
PS
Pablo Salinas3d
Que evento esse, vai ser interessante
JG
Joaquín G.2d
Que evento esse, vai ser interessante
JG
Joaquín G.2d
Próximas semanas vão definir
AL
Andrea López1d
Próximas semanas vão definir

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MG
Megan GarcíaBUYYes
22.00 KDP
@ 9% · 3d

📅 Schedule & payouts

Market opened
May 23, 2026, 5:37 AM
Market closes
After the result·Oct 10, 2026, 2:00 AM
Projected payout
Up to 24h after close

Market closes automatically on Oct 10, 2026, 2:00 AM if the result isn't known yet.

Yes9%No91%