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Iran closes its airspace by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). Any non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN). Qualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14/) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iranian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14/). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz/3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https://www.intellinews.com/iran-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997/). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.

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COP 1,931,663,501 COP

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Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Vol COP 142,868 COP

99%

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Vol COP 583,918 COP

92%

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Vol COP 1,930,668,062 COP

28%

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Vol COP 56,432 COP

26%

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Iran closes its airspace by May 24?.99

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?.92

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?.28

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?.26

Iran closes its airspace by May 27?.19

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Camila Vega4d
AI race continua quente, Anthropic vs OpenAI
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Tomás Aguirre4d
Vou de NO, valuation tá esticado
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Tesla volatilidade absurda
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Sebastián M.4d
Esse trimestre os números vão decidir
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Microsoft com Azure dominando ainda
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Quem viu o último release?
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Vou de NO, valuation tá esticado
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Microsoft com Azure dominando ainda
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Apple lançando IA própria foi forte
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Daniela H.1d
Tesla volatilidade absurda
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Mateo López1d
Acho que o Google vai surpreender
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Lucía R.23h
Apple lançando IA própria foi forte
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Daniela H.21h
Vou de NO, valuation tá esticado
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Pablo Salinas20h
Apple lançando IA própria foi forte
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Emilia R.18h
Quem viu o último release?
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Renata M.16h
Acho que o Google vai surpreender

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Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
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Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
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Iran closes its airspace by...?

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