Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

28%chance

Yes 28¢

No 72¢

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

Volume

COP 175.7K COP

Dec 31, 2026

Trades

Comments

📈 Probability chart

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Live chat· 6 messages

GO
Gabriela O.3d
Bom volume, gosto de quando tem liquidez
CV
Camila Vega3d
Próximas semanas vão definir
BL
Bruno Lima2d
Apostei nesse e tô segurando
JP
Juliana P.2d
Que evento esse, vai ser interessante
JG
Joaquín G.1d
Tô analisando, ainda não decidi
RP
Rodrigo Pérez22h
Tô analisando, ainda não decidi

0/200

Live· refreshes every 5s

SK
Sarah K.BUYNo
35.00 KDP
@ 72% · 3d

📅 Schedule & payouts

Market opened
May 23, 2026, 5:38 AM
Market closes
After the result·Dec 31, 2026, 1:00 AM
Projected payout
Up to 24h after close

Market closes automatically on Dec 31, 2026, 1:00 AM if the result isn't known yet.

Yes28%No72%