Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

19%chance

Yes 19¢

No 81¢

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

Volume

COP 50K COP

Dec 31, 2026

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Live chat· 8 messages

SC
Sofia Castro4d
Quem tem dados melhores?
CM
Carlos Mendoza3d
Mercado bem disputado
AF
Andrés F.2d
Bom volume, gosto de quando tem liquidez
ER
Emilia R.2d
Próximas semanas vão definir
JG
Joaquín G.1d
Próximas semanas vão definir
RM
Renata M.1d
Que evento esse, vai ser interessante
SC
Sofia Castro1d
Quem tem dados melhores?
ML
Mateo López23h
Quem tem dados melhores?

0/200

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📅 Schedule & payouts

Market opened
May 23, 2026, 5:39 AM
Market closes
After the result·Dec 31, 2026, 1:00 AM
Projected payout
Up to 24h after close

Market closes automatically on Dec 31, 2026, 1:00 AM if the result isn't known yet.

Yes19%No81%